Welcome to the second week of the NFL season!
I hope you are as happy as I am to be at this point. What did we learn this past week? Great question – I learned that even though I draft running backs early for fantasy football doesn’t mean they will hold onto the ball and play the second half of games. I also learned that just because a team is “bad” doesn’t mean they will get blown out, which was a terrible, terrible strategy last week that back-fired on me. Almost every NFL game was decided by a touchdown or less with a ton of last drive scores. The great thing for us is that we get a chance to evolve, which is usually a good thing.
Unless it’s evolve musically to drive away fans. Here’s what I mean – you see this all the time when a band gets popular then decides it doesn’t want to be popular anymore. You never see them turning in unsigned royalty checks uncashed or not playing festivals. This pet peeve is spawned by the new MGMT record. You remember MGMT right? – got big with the singles Kids, Time to Pretend and Electric Feel. Well, they’ve decided to do away with melody and spray-paint on your car a giant SCREW YOU. They’ve gone out and made a new album that sounds like whooping crane mating season filtered through a Talkboy while an ice cream truck plays in the distance. Nirvana, Pearl Jam, Weezer and Prince are high-profile examples where bands try to change their sound to be less famous. Rather than throw a donkey-pile of tunes at the public for $9.99, how about take your gold toilets and mountains of cash to go pursue something besides music then. Seriously, tons of deserving bands would take your spot on that bill. Rant over.
Even with all the close games last week, the favorites and underdogs split evenly 8-8 against the spread. Yours truly had a disaster week, starting the season off 3-7 on my selections. Obviously my subconscious was trying to make this year more of a challenge and I’ll look to at least even my record this week. Instead of throwing guacamole at a wall covered with NFL teams to decide who to pick, I’ve actually researched this week. The results will be outstanding.
On to the games!
NEW ENGLAND/NY JETS OVER 42.5– Knock Knock! Who’s there? Last year the Pats… Last year the Pats who? Last year the Pats had only ONE game where the total points didn’t go over 43. Also, the last seven meetings between these two teams have gone OVER. I’m a sucker for the latest trends.
GREEN BAY -7.5 vs. Redskins – This line started at almost 10 and has dropped all week. Not sure what game people were watching but Washington looked terrible. Seeing as I thought they looked bad, I’m going to be choosing the other team. That’s how picking sides works.
TAMPA BAY +3 vs. Saints – Hopefully before kickoff you can get this at +3.5 since it’s probably the most popular bet of the week on the Saints thus far. I’m assuming it’s because America has decided that the Real World New Orleans season was probably the best. Unless Jemmye is going to suit up on defense for the black & gold, I’m fine going against them on the road.
NEW YORK GIANTS +4.5 vs. Broncos – Last year the Broncos didn’t play nearly as well on the road as they did at home. The Giants did everything they could in week one to keep this line inflated with more turnovers than I have fingers on a single hand. Think this is a field goal either way but if Peyton threw 7 touchdowns again, I would be fine with it.
SEATTLE -3 vs. Niners – Situational play here on the Seahawks coming home for an important early season division test. The 49ers looked fantastic last week but they are familiar enough with each other that I’m not letting the week one results get in the way of what I assumed the line would be for this game. Plus, that show Portlandia is overrated but everyone thinks it’s good. Seattle’s not Portland but its close enough.
BALTIMORE -6 vs. Browns – Feel like I’m shopping for pork chops at Wal-Mart getting this good of a discount on the line. The Ravens are a good football team and were just embarrassed. I’ll take them to put a pounding on the Browns trying to figure out an identity on the road.
PHILADELPHIA -7 vs. Chargers – Lost going against the Chargers last week so I’m doubling down their incompetence. Unfortunately, the Philip Rivers we all know and love didn’t show up until the second half. He isn’t going to get that luxury of playing with the lead against the new-look Eagles.
CINCINNATI -6.5 vs. Steelers – Even though the Steelers let the world know what kind of shape they are in at the moment, I’m still taking the Bengals. I’ve thought they were underrated all off-season and love their defense. I’m fine with them at a touchdown or less. I also like them because they play football in a city I have exactly zero desire to visit in my lifetime.